Parsing the Brown poll
If you are wondering why Democratic Congressman David Cicilline wants to make substantial changes to the 1st Congressional District that he won in 2010 when he was mayor of Providence, take a gander at the latest Brown University public opinion survey.
The survey, supervised by Brown political science professor Marion Orr, had a sample of 464 registered voters statewide. Of that sample, 316 were from the 1st Congressional District and just 148 from the 2nd Congressional District, represented by James Langevin.
Digging into the numbers shows just how much trouble Cicilline faces. Just 31 percent of Democrats rated Cicilline’s job performance either excellent or good, 21 percent of independents gave him good or excellent marks and 17 percent of Republicans stated Cicilline was good or excellent.
The other interesting part of the survey was State General Treasurer Gina Raimondo’s ascension in the polls. On the heels of her leadership of state pension overhaul, Democrat Raimondo was viewed favorably by 52 percent of respondents, up from 39 percent in a Brown poll in March, 2011. Yet Raimondo was viewed most favorably by Republicans (61 percent) and independents (60 percent) but received favorable ratings from just 37 percent of Democrats.
The other highly rated newly elected politician is Providence Democratic Mayor Angel Taveras, who is viewed favorably by 52 percent, the same rating as Raimondo.
Governor Lincoln Chafee, an independent, has seen his favorability ratings drop from 32 percent to 27 percent. Democrats approve of Chafee at a much higher level (39 percent) than Republicans (15 percent) and independents (22 percent).