Washington Post blog says GOP has a tough climb in CD1
The Fix, the popular Washington Post political blog, today offers an out-of-town view on the redrawing of Rhode Island’s congressional lines and the perceived boost for Congressman David Cicilline:
Interestingly, the post posits Warwick Mayor Scott Avedisian and Cranston Mayor Allan Fung as potential GOP challengers next year to Congressman Jim Langevin. (Avedisian, who remains a prohibitive favorite should he seek reelection, tells me he’s undecided about his plans for 2012.) Regardless, the two districts are fertile ground for Democrats:
According to performance numbers obtained by The Fix, by dropping Burrillville and swapping certain parts of Providence with Langevin, Cicilline’s 1st district moves from a 65 percent Obama district to one that would have gone 66 percent for the president, shifting more than 1 percent in Obama’s favor. Langevin’s 2nd district, meanwhile, drops from a 61 percent Obama district to one that would have gone about 60 percent for the president.
Regarding Cicilline, The Fix draws this conclusion:
In the end, Republicans’ quest to win in a very tough district just became tougher, and Cicilline looks like he will have a chance to stay in Congress for a long time, in spite of his personal problems.