Gemma: “David Cicilline cannot win”
Even with grim poll results, it’s too soon to write the political obituary for Congressman David Cicilline. But Anthony Gemma, who placed second in the 2010 Democratic primary in the First Congressional District, is trying to do just that:
The numbers are unambiguous. David Cicilline cannot win in the General Election against Brendan Doherty. If Cicilline is the Democratic nominee, he will lose the district to the Republican Party.
However, it is abundantly clear that Mr. Doherty does significantly worse against me than he does against Cicilline – securing 49% of the vote against Cicilline, but only 41% against me – and I have not yet declared my candidacy, while Mr. Doherty has been running for a year.
The key numbers are the totals for the undecideds – voters who have not yet made up their minds. It is inconceivable that the vast majority of these voters are undecided about David Cicilline. They know enough about him. And they’ve had enough of him. They know that David Cicilline broke his trust with the people of Providence when he drove their city to the brink of bankruptcy and then lied about it. They know that David Cicilline broke his trust with the people of the RI 1st Congressional District when he lied to them during the last election. They know that David Cicilline continues to break his trust with the people of Rhode Island by doing nothing for them in Congress, and by lying about it.
Gemma, by the way, says he’ll make his plans clear “in the very near future”
Within a week you will be hearing about a major initiative in which I am intimately involved – one that will bring considerable jobs and other forms of economic relief to Rhode Island. All along I have said that I will make the best use of my talents and energy on behalf of the people.
Cicilline has some serious assets as he tries to battle back, including his considerable energy, formidable fundraising, and an expected heavy turnout of Democrats in this year’s presidential election. He says he takes responsibility for his actions as mayor and never gets tired of describing how he’s trying to advocate for Rhode Islanders in DC.
But weak poll showings are the equivalent of blood in the water. The presence of one or more primary challengers lobbing bombs at the incumbent will only complicate things for Cicilline.